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2019","format":false,"excerpt":"\u96a8\u8457\u7e3d\u7d71Trump\u5c07\u4e2d\u570b\u9032\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u95dc\u7a05\u63d0\u9ad8\u8d85\u904e\u4e00\u500d\uff0c\u570b\u4eba\u6703\u5f88\u5feb\u770b\u5230\u5546\u5e97\u8ca8\u67b6\u4e0a\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u6f32\u55ce\uff1f \u662f\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u5e7e\u9031\u3002\u9031\u4e94\uff0c2000\u5104\u5143\u4e2d\u570b\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u9032\u53e3\u7a05\u5f9e10%\u5347\u81f325%\u3002\u5728\u6307\u8cac\u4e2d\u570b\u8ac7\u5224\u4ee3\u8868\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u8ac7\u5224\u4e2d\u5c0d\u5148\u524d\u4f5c\u51fa\u7684\u8b93\u6b65\u51fa\u723e\u53cd\u723e\u5f8c\uff0c\u7e3d\u7d71Trump\u514c\u73fe\u4e86\u4ed6\u63d0\u9ad8\u95dc\u7a05\u7684\u5a01\u8105\u3002 \u95dc\u7a05\u63d0\u9ad8\u5c07\u5f71\u97ff\u6578\u5343\u7a2e\u5546\u54c1\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u50a2\u4ff1\u3001\u884c\u674e\u7bb1\u3001\u6d77\u9bae\u548c\u624b\u63d0\u5305\u7b49\u6d88\u8cbb\u54c1\u3002\u4f01\u696d\u5c07\u70ba\u5316\u5de5\u3001\u96fb\u4fe1\u8a2d\u5099\u548c\u5851\u81a0\u652f\u4ed8\u66f4\u591a\u8cbb\u7528\u3002\u6c7d\u8eca\u516c\u53f8\u5c07\u70ba\u6c7d\u8eca\u96f6\u90e8\u4ef6\u652f\u4ed8\u66f4\u591a\u8cbb\u7528\uff0c\u9019\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u63d0\u9ad8\u65b0\u8eca\u50f9\u683c\u3002 \u5118\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u570b\u4eba\u5f9e\u4e2d\u570b\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u6700\u5ee3\u6cdb\u7522\u54c1-\u8863\u670d\u3001\u978b\u5b50\u3001\u73a9\u5177\u548ciPhone\u7b49\u96fb\u5b50\u7522\u54c1-\u9084\u6c92\u6709\u53d7\u5230\u95dc\u7a05\u63d0\u9ad8\u7684\u885d\u64ca\u3002Trump\u653f\u5e9c\u4e00\u76f4\u8a66\u5716\u907f\u514d\u5c0d\u9019\u4e9b\u5546\u54c1\u5fb5\u7a05\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u9019\u6703\u5c0d\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7522\u751f\u975e\u5e38\u986f\u8457\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u4f46Trump\u5a01\u8105\u8aaa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u80fd\u9054\u6210\u5354\u8b70\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c07\u6539\u8b8a\u9019\u4e00\u73fe\u72c0\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u5fc5\u8981\u6642\u5c07\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5269\u9918\u76842900\u5104\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\u9032\u53e3\u7522\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u95dc\u7a05\u3002 \u4e0b\u9762\u662f\u5c0d\u95dc\u7a05\u589e\u9577\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b83\u5c07\u5982\u4f55\u767c\u63ee\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u66f4\u7d30\u7dfb\u89c0\u5bdf\uff1a \u7e3d\u7d71\u8aaa\u4e2d\u570b\u6b63\u5728\u652f\u4ed8\u9019\u4e9b\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u5c0d\u55ce\uff1f \u4ed6\u932f\u4e86\u3002\u6070\u6070\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4f01\u696d\u548c\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u5c07\u70ba\u6b64\u4ed8\u51fa\u4ee3\u50f9\u3002 \u9031\u4e94\u4e0a\u5348\uff0cTrump\u5728\u63a8\u7279\u4e0a\u8aaa\uff1a\u300c\u95dc\u7a05\u5c07\u70ba\u6211\u5011\u570b\u5bb6\u5e36\u4f86\u6bd4\u50b3\u7d71\u7684\u9a5a\u4eba\u4ea4\u6613\u591a\u5f97\u591a\u7684\u8ca1\u5bcc\u3002\u300d\u4f46\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u9032\u53e3\u7a05\u7684\u904b\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u5b83\u5011\u4e0d\u662f\u7531\u4e2d\u570b\u516c\u53f8\u652f\u4ed8\u3002\u5b83\u5011\u7531\u7f8e\u570b\u9032\u53e3\u5546\u652f\u4ed8\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u9032\u53e3\u5546\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u5927\u578b\u96f6\u552e\u5546\u3001\u6279\u767c\u5546\u6216\u88fd\u9020\u5546\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u516c\u53f8\u5fc5\u9808\u652f\u4ed8\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5426\u5247\u9019\u4e9b\u7522\u54c1\u5c07\u7121\u6cd5\u96e2\u958b\u7f8e\u570b\u6e2f\u53e3\u7684\u78bc\u982d\u3002 \u5927\u578b\u7f8e\u570b\u9032\u53e3\u5546\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u5927\u578b\u96f6\u552e\u9023\u9396\u5e97\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u6709\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u8feb\u4f7f\u4e2d\u570b\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\u964d\u50f9\u4ee5\u62b5\u6d88\u90e8\u5206\u6216\u5168\u90e8\u95dc\u7a05\u3002\u4f46\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u9019\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u5e36\u4f86\u4ec0\u9ebc\u4e0d\u540c\u3002 \u6839\u64daFederal Reserve Bank of New York\u3001\u00a0Columbia University\u548cPrinceton University\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb63\u6708\u4e00\u9805\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e2d\u570b\u95dc\u7a05\u4ee5\u53caTrump\u5c0d\u92fc\u9435\u7b49\u5546\u54c1\u5fb5\u6536\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5230\u53bb\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4f01\u696d\u548c\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u6bcf\u6708\u7e73\u7d0d30\u5104\u5143\u9032\u53e3\u7a05\u3002 \u90a3\u6211\u8981\u591a\u4ed8\u591a\u5c11\u9322\u5462\uff1f \u7576\u8fd4\u6821\u8cfc\u7269\u958b\u59cb\u6642\uff0c\u4f60\u6703\u767c\u73fe\u5b78\u6821\u80cc\u5305\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u8cb4\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6253\u7b97\u91cd\u65b0\u88dd\u4fee\u623f\u5b50\uff0c\u4f60\u6703\u767c\u73fe\u7531\u65bc\u5c0d\u82b1\u5d17\u5ca9\u3001\u5927\u7406\u77f3\u3001\u92fc\u9435\u3001\u6728\u6750\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u5efa\u7bc9\u6750\u6599\u5fb5\u6536\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u88dd\u4fee\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u8cb4\u3002\u5168\u570b\u623f\u5c4b\u5efa\u7bc9\u5546\u5354\u6703\u4f30\u8a08\uff0c\u9019\u9805\u95dc\u7a05\u6bcf\u5e74\u5c07\u4f7f\u958b\u767c\u5546\u4ed8\u51fa25\u5104\u5143\u7684\u4ee3\u50f9\u3002 \u5305\u62ec\u81e5\u5ba4\u548c\u8fa6\u516c\u5ba4\u50a2\u4ff1\u5728\u5167\u7684\u50a2\u4ff1\u4ee5\u53ca\u51b0\u7bb1\u548c\u51b0\u6ac3\u3001\u7a7a\u8abf\u3001\u624b\u63d0\u5305\u3001\u68d2\u7403\u624b\u5957\u3001\u81ea\u884c\u8eca\u548c\u884c\u674e\u7bb1\u90fd\u6703\u53d7\u5230\u885d\u64ca\u3002\u8766\u3001\u91d1\u69cd\u9b5a\u3001\u9b5a\u68d2\u548c\u8a31\u591a\u5176\u4ed6\u985e\u578b\u6d77\u9bae\u4e5f\u5c07\u82b1\u8cbb\u66f4\u591a\u3002 U.S.Travel Goods Association\u7a31\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u92b7\u552e\u7684\u6240\u6709\u884c\u674e\u7bb1\u4e2d\uff0c\u7d0480%\u4f86\u81ea\u4e2d\u570b\u3002\u8a72\u884c\u696d\u5718\u9ad4\u7a31\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6578\u884c\u674e\u548c\u80cc\u5305\u5df2\u670917.6%\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u984d\u5916\u95dc\u7a05\u5c07\u4f7f\u5f97\u7e3d\u95dc\u7a05\u9054\u523042.6%\u3002 \u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u8f1b\u65b0\u8eca\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u66f4\u8cb4\u3002\u64daPeterson Institute for International Economics\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d92\u5104\u5143\u6c7d\u8eca\u96f6\u90e8\u4ef6\u9032\u53e3\u5fb5\u6536\u95dc\u7a05\u3002Center for Automotive Research\u526f\u7e3d\u88c1Kristin Dziczek\u4f30\u8a08\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u95dc\u7a05\u5c07\u4f7f\u7f8e\u570b\u88fd\u9020\u6c7d\u8eca\u6210\u672c\u589e\u52a0190\u5143\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u8f49\u5ac1\u7d66\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u3002 \u8207NRF\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u8aee\u8a62\u516c\u53f8Trade Partnership\u7814\u7a76\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u9019\u4e9b\u95dc\u7a05\u7dad\u6301\u81f3\u5c11\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u500b\u56db\u53e3\u4e4b\u5bb6\u5bb6\u5ead\u8981\u70ba\u6b64\u652f\u4ed8767\u5143\u3002 \u50f9\u683c\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6642\u5019\u4e0a\u6f32\uff1f \u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u5e7e\u9031\u3002 \u9019\u4e9b\u95dc\u7a05\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u9031\u4e94\u5f9e\u4e2d\u570b\u767c\u8ca8\u7684\u7522\u54c1\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u4e4b\u524d\u3002\u4e00\u8258\u5927\u578b\u96c6\u88dd\u7bb1\u8239\u5f9e\u4e2d\u570b\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u7d04\u9700\u8981\u4e09\u9031\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u7b2c\u4e00\u6279\u652f\u4ed8\u95dc\u7a05\u7684\u8ca8\u7269\u5230\u90a3\u500b\u6642\u9593\u624d\u5230\u9054\u3002 \u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5b58\u5728\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8ac7\u5224\u4ee3\u8868\u5728\u6700\u5f8c\u4e00\u523b\u9054\u6210\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u7f8e\u570b\u80fd\u5920\u5728\u95dc\u7a05\u771f\u6b63\u751f\u6548\u4e4b\u524d\u53d6\u6d88\u95dc\u7a05\u3002 French\u8aaa\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u516c\u53f8\u4ecd\u5c07\u5229\u7528\u95dc\u7a05\u516c\u544a\u7acb\u5373\u958b\u59cb\u5411\u96f6\u552e\u5546\u6536\u8cbb\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u6210\u672c\u4e2d\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f88\u5feb\u5730\u8f49\u5ac1\u7d66\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u3002 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