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2017","format":false,"excerpt":"\u4e00\u9ad8\u58d3\u810a\u6cbf\u8457\u897f\u6d77\u5cb8\u76e4\u5750\uff0c\u963b\u64cb\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u98a8\u66b4\u6771\u9032\uff0c\u7063\u5340\u56e0\u6b64\u5f97\u4ee5\u4fdd\u6301\u4e7e\u71e5\u3002\u5929\u6c23\u9810\u5831\u54e1\u8166\u4e2d\u73fe\u5728\u7684\u554f\u984c\u662f\uff1a\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6642\u5019\u6703\u518d\u6b21\u4e0b\u96e8? \u6211\u5011\u63a1\u8a2a\u7684\u4e09\u4f4d\u6c23\u8c61\u5b78\u5bb6\u4e00\u81f4\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u4e03\u5929\u4e0d\u6703\u6709\u964d\u96e8\u3002\u4f46\u6b64\u5f8c\u7684\u5929\u6c23\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u96e3\u4ee5\u78ba\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e09\u4f4d\u6c23\u8c61\u5b78\u5bb6\u5c0d\u53ef\u80fd\u767c\u751f\u60c5\u6cc1\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u3002 \u5728\u7d93\u6b77\u53c8\u4e00\u500b\u4e7e\u71e5\u7684\u4e00\u9031\u5f8c\uff0cJan Null with Golden Gate Weather Services\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u559c\u6b61\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u4e00\u7a2e\u6c23\u5019\u6a21\u578bGlobal Forecast System\u9810\u6e2c12\u670820\u65e5\u81f322\u65e5\u6703\u6709\u9663\u96e8\u3002 \u300c\u9810\u6e2c\u672a\u4f86\u4e09\u9031\u3001\u8aaa\u4e0d\u6703\u6709\u964d\u96e8\u5f9e\u4e00\u500b\u6c23\u5019\u5b78\u7684\u8996\u89d2\u770b\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\uff0c\u300dNull\u8aaa\u3002\u300c\u6211\u4e0d\u76f8\u4fe1\u6211\u5011\u73fe\u5728\u5230\u4eca\u5e74\u7d50\u675f\u9019\u4e00\u671f\u9593\u4e0d\u6703\u518d\u4e0b\u96e8\u3002\u300d \u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u9019\u500b\u6708\u7063\u5340\u518d\u4e5f\u770b\u4e0d\u5230\u4e00\u6ef4\u6c34\uff0cNational Weather Service\u00a0Monterey\u8fa6\u516c\u5ba4\u7684\u9810\u5831\u54e1Roger Gass\u4e0d\u6703\u611f\u5230\u9a5a\u8a1d\u3002Gass\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6839\u64daNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration\u9ebe\u4e0bClimate Prediction Center\u7684\u9577\u671f\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u523012\u670824\u65e5\u7684\u5929\u6c23\u5c07\u4e00\u76f4\u4fdd\u6301\u4e7e\u71e5\u3002 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Swain\u88dc\u5145\u8aaa\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u9032\u5165\u4e00\u500b\u5340\u57df\uff0c\u9ad8\u58d3\u7cfb\u7d71\u5c31\u6703\u4fdd\u6301\u8da8\u52e2\uff1a\u300c\u6b63\u5e38\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u4e00\u9031\u6211\u5011\u4e0d\u6703\u8aaa\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u7a2e\u963b\u64cb\u6a21\u5f0f\u662f\u90a3\u7a2e\u50be\u5411\u65bc\u6301\u7e8c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u6d88\u6563\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u300d \u81ea12\u67081\u65e5\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0cSan Francisco\u5e02\u5340\u50c5\u50c5\u53ea\u67090.02\u82f1\u5bf8\u964d\u96e8\uff1b\u9019\u4e00\u4e01\u9ede\u5152\u96e8\u662f\u572812\u67082\u65e5\u4e0b\u7684\uff0c\u7576\u6642\u4e00\u5834\u5fae\u5f31\u98a8\u66b4\u8972\u64ca\u5317\u7063\uff0cSan Francisco\u525b\u597d\u770b\u5230\u5b83\u7684\u6700\u5357\u7aef\u3002 \u5982\u679c\u9019\u500b\u6708San Francisco\u4e0d\u518d\u6709\u964d\u96e8\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u9019\u500b12\u6708\u5c07\u662f\u6709\u8a18\u9304\u4ee5\u4f86100\u591a\u5e74\u6392\u540d\u7b2c\u4e09\u7684\u6700\u4e7e\u71e512\u6708\u3002 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\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7164\u96fb\uff08PG&E\uff09\u7684\u6c23\u8c61\u5b78\u5bb6\u9810\u6e2c\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u7684\u5e7e\u5929\u5167\u5c07\u51fa\u73fe\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7684\u51ac\u5b63\u66b4\u98a8\u96e8\u3002PG&E\u9f13\u52f5\u7528\u6236\u505a\u597d\u6e96\u5099\u4e26\u5236\u5b9a\u8a08\u756b\u4ee5\u61c9\u5c0d\u8207\u6c23\u5019\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u65b7\u96fb\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002 https:\/\/youtu.be\/7LwiNvqPShU \u9019\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7684\u66b4\u98a8\u96e8\u5c07\u5f62\u6210\u4e00\u500b\u5927\u6c23\u6cb3\u6d41\u7684\u6c23\u5019\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u5e36\u4f86\u5927\u7bc4\u570d\u5927\u96e8\u3001\u5f37\u98a8\u53ca\u4f4e\u6d77\u62d4\u5927\u96ea\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u9810\u8a08\u5728\u9031\u4e8c\u4e0b\u5348\u958b\u59cb\u6301\u7e8c\u5230\u9031\u56db\u3002\u6574\u500bPG&E\u7684\u670d\u52d9\u5730\u5340\u90fd\u5c07\u53d7\u5230\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u5728Sierra\u5c71\u8173\u5730\u5340\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6700\u4f4e\u5728\u6d77\u62d42\u5343\u82f1\u5c3a\u5c31\u51fa\u73fe\u964d\u96ea\u3002\u9ad8\u6d77\u62d4\u5730\u5340\u5247\u53ef\u80fd\u7d2f\u7a4d\u6578\u82f1\u5c3a\u7684\u964d\u96ea\u91cf\u3002 PG&E\u7684\u6c23\u8c61\u53ca\u706b\u707d\u79d1\u5b78\u7d93\u7406Scott Strenfel\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u300c\u96d6\u7136\u4f4e\u6c23\u6eab\u3001\u9ad8\u5c71\u7a4d\u96ea\u53ca\u964d\u96e8\u53ef\u4ee5\u70ba\u6211\u5011\u7684\u4e7e\u65f1\u5730\u5340\u5e36\u4f86\u6240\u9700\u7684\u6fd5\u6c23\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u5011\u9810\u8a08\u60e1\u52a3\u7684\u5929\u6c23\u4e5f\u6703\u9020\u6210\u8207\u6c23\u5019\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u65b7\u96fb\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002\u6211\u5011\u547c\u7c72\u7528\u6236\u52d9\u5fc5\u6ce8\u610f\u5b89\u5168\u53ca\u5236\u8a02\u8a08\u756b\u3002\u6211\u5011\u7684\u5718\u968a\u6b63\u7dca\u5bc6\u95dc\u6ce8\u8457\u9019\u5834\u66b4\u98a8\u96e8\u4ee5\u53ca\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u6700\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u707d\u60c5\u5730\u5340\uff0c\u4f7f\u6211\u5011\u80fd\u5920\u505a\u597d\u5feb\u901f\u4e14\u5b89\u5168\u5fa9\u96fb\u7684\u6e96\u5099\u3002\u300d PG&E\u7684\u6c23\u8c61\u5718\u968a\u5229\u7528\u66b4\u98a8\u96e8\u65b7\u96fb\u9810\u6e2c\u6a21\u578b\uff08Storm Outage Prediction Model\uff09\u53ca\u7cfb\u7d71\u77e5\u8b58\u4ee5\u7cbe\u6e96\u9810\u6e2c\u66b4\u98a8\u96e8\u6700\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u885d\u64ca\u6642\u9593\u548c\u5730\u5340\u3002\u6b64\u6a21\u578b\u7d50\u5408\u5373\u6642\u5929\u6c23\u9810\u6e2c\u3001\u904e\u53bb30\u5e74\u7684\u5929\u6c23\u60c5\u6cc1\u548c\u65b7\u96fb\u6578\u64da\u9032\u884c\u5206\u6790\u3002\u6b64\u6a21\u578b\u4e5f\u4f7f\u516c\u53f8\u80fd\u5920\u5728\u66b4\u98a8\u96e8\u4f86\u8972\u524d\u9810\u5148\u5b89\u6392\u4eba\u54e1\u3001\u8a2d\u5099\u548c\u8cc7\u6e90\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u5feb\u901f\u61c9\u5c0d\u65b7\u96fb\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002 \u9031\u4e8c\u665a\u9593\u8d77\u768448\u5c0f\u6642\u5167\uff0cNorth Coast\u4ee5\u53caSacramento Valley\u7684\u4f4e\u6d77\u62d4\u53ca\u90fd\u5e02\u5340\u57df\uff0c\u5c07\u53ef\u80fd\u67092\u81f34\u82f1\u5bf8\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u9ad8\u6d77\u62d4\u5730\u5340\u53caSierra\u5317\u90e8\u7b49\u5c71\u5340\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe6\u81f38\u82f1\u5bf8\u7684\u964d\u96ea\u91cf\u3002PG&E\u7684\u6c23\u8c61\u5b78\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff0cSierra\u4e2d\u90e8\u548c\u5357\u90e8\u5c07\u51fa\u73fe\u9ad8\u5c71\u5927\u96ea\uff0c\u4e26\u9810\u8a08\u7522\u751f\u6700\u9ad8\u6bcf\u5c0f\u664255\u81f365\u82f1\u91cc\u7684\u5f37\u98a8\u3002\u76f4\u81f3\u9031\u56db\u665a\u9593\uff0c\u6b64\u5929\u6c23\u7cfb\u7d71\u5c07\u70ba\u7063\u5340\uff08Bay Area\uff09\u5e36\u4f86\u4e2d\u5ea6\u81f3\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u548c\u5f37\u98a8\uff0c\u5468\u908a\u5c71\u8108\u9802\u7aef\u4e5f\u6709\u4e0b\u96ea\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u3002 \u570b\u5bb6\u6c23\u8c61\u5c40\uff08National Weather Service\uff09 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