{"id":178947,"date":"2019-12-14T08:20:06","date_gmt":"2019-12-14T16:20:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/old.newsforchinese.com\/v3\/?p=178947"},"modified":"2019-12-14T08:20:06","modified_gmt":"2019-12-14T16:20:06","slug":"%e7%81%a3%e5%8d%80%e5%85%a9%e8%99%95%e5%9c%b0%e9%9d%a2%e9%9c%87%e5%8b%95%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%80%a7%e9%a1%af%e8%91%97%e5%a2%9e%e5%8a%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/2019\/12\/14\/%e7%81%a3%e5%8d%80%e5%85%a9%e8%99%95%e5%9c%b0%e9%9d%a2%e9%9c%87%e5%8b%95%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%80%a7%e9%a1%af%e8%91%97%e5%a2%9e%e5%8a%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7063\u5340\u5169\u8655\u5730\u9762\u9707\u52d5\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u986f\u8457\u589e\u52a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>United States Geological Survey<span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u9031\u56db\u767c\u4f48\u4e00\u500b\u65b0<\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial;\">U.S. Seismic Hazard Model<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u9019\u500b\u6a21\u578b\u5305\u542b\u672c\u571f<\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial;\">48<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u500b\u5dde\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u5730\u9707\u767c\u73fe\u3002\u5728\u7063\u5340\uff0c\u5b83\u986f\u793a<\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial;\">San Jose<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u548c<\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial;\">Walnut Creek<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u300c\u5730\u9762\u9707\u52d5\u986f\u8457\u589e\u52a0\u300d\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u6bd4\u4ee5\u524d\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u986f\u793a\u7684\u8981\u9ad8\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u64da<\/span>USGS<span style=\"font-family: 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\u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u82f1\u91cc\uff0c\u5206\u4f48\u5728\u5805\u786c\u5ca9\u77f3\u9802\u4e0a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u300c\u7063\u5340\u4e0b\u9eb5\u6709\u5e7e\u82f1\u91cc\u539a\u6c89\u7a4d\u7269\uff0c\u300d\u5168\u570b\u5730\u9707\u707d\u5bb3\u6a21\u64ec\u5c08\u6848\u8ca0\u8cac\u4eba<\/span>Mark Petersen<span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u89e3\u91cb\u8aaa\uff0c\u300c\u7576\u5730\u9707\u7206\u767c\u6642\uff0c\u5b83\u6703\u6539\u8b8a\u6ce2\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u632f\u5e45\u3002\u80fd\u91cf\u88ab\u50b3\u64ad\u5230<\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial;\">San Francisco Basin<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u7684\u8f03\u6df1\u5340\u57df\uff0c\u4e26\u5c0e\u81f4\u9577\u6ce2\u653e\u5927\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u6ce2\u5c0d\u9ad8\u5c64\u5efa\u7bc9\u548c\u5927\u8de8\u5ea6\u6a4b\u6a11\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u6211\u5011\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u6539\u9032\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u9019\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u300d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u5728<\/span>Geologic Hazards Science Center<span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u5730\u8cea\u707d\u5bb3\u79d1\u5b78\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684<\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial;\">USGS<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6<\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial;\">Alison Shumway<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u8aaa\uff0c\u77ad\u89e3\u5730\u9707\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u97ff\u6df1\u76c6\u5730\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u7a2e\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u300c\u60f3\u50cf\u4e00\u6df1\u7897\u679c\u51cd\uff0c\u6416\u6643\u5b83\u6642\u6703\u767c\u751f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u300d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u9019\u4e9b\u8cc7\u8a0a\u88ab\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e2b\u548c\u5b98\u54e1\u7528\u4f86\u5236\u5b9a\u5f9e\u6a4b\u6a11\u3001\u9053\u8def\u5230\u6469\u5929\u5927\u6a13\u7684\u6297\u9707\u898f\u7bc4\u3002<\/span>Petersen<span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u8aaa\uff0c\u7063\u5340\u5730\u5716\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u5c0d\u8a2d\u8a08\u5efa\u7bc9\u548c\u57fa\u790e\u8a2d\u65bd\u7684\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e2b\u4f86\u8aaa\u610f\u7fa9\u91cd\u5927\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53;\">\u4f86\u81ea\u9019\u500b\u76c6\u5730\u7684\u65b0\u767c\u73fe\u6c92\u6709\u5f71\u97ff\u5230<\/span>San Francisco<span style=\"font-family: 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Model\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1001022,"featured_media":172780,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"episode_type":"","audio_file":"","podmotor_file_id":"","podmotor_episode_id":"","cover_image":"","cover_image_id":"","duration":"","filesize":"","filesize_raw":"","date_recorded":"","explicit":"","block":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"series":[],"class_list":["post-178947","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-local"],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image_urls":{"thumbnail":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/earthquake-1-150x150.jpg","medium":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/earthquake-1-300x200.jpg","large":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/earthquake-1-600x400.jpg","post-thumbnail-size":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/earthquake-1-600x330.jpg","round-personnel-size":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/earthquake-1-400x400.jpg","small-grid-size":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/earthquake-1-400x300.jpg","portrait":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/earthquake-1-500x400.jpg","blog-grid":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/earthquake-1-600x400.jpg","post-medium-featured":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/earthquake-1-600x400.jpg","post-widget-left-featured":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/earthquake-1-600x350.jpg","post-board-1-2":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/earthquake-1-450x400.jpg","post-board-2-2":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/earthquake-1-600x332.jpg"},"appp_media":null,"episode_featured_image":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/earthquake-1.jpg","episode_player_image":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/avatars-DFF30y5My1u3eZvX-2nXMSw-original.jpg","download_link":"","player_link":"","audio_player":false,"episode_data":{"playerMode":"dark","subscribeUrls":[],"rssFeedUrl":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/feed\/podcast\/%e8%80%81%e4%b8%ad%e5%bb%a3%e6%92%ad%e9%9b%bb%e5%8f%b0","embedCode":"<blockquote 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\u6700\u8fd1\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5730\u8cea\u52d8\u63a2\u7e3d\u7f72\u4f7f\u7528\u66f4\u52a0\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u52a0\u5dde\u65b7\u5c64\u6578\u64da\u5eab\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c0d\u904e\u53bb\u5730\u9707\u65e5\u671f\u548c\u65b7\u5c64\u69cb\u9020\u7684\u984d\u5916\u5730\u8cea\u89c0\u6e2c\uff0c\u9084\u6539\u9032\u548c\u66f4\u65b0\u4e86\u201c\u8b8a\u5f62\u6a21\u578b\u201d\u4f7f\u65b7\u5c64\u904b\u52d5\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u66f4\u52a0\u6e96\u78ba\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u505a\u51fa\u4e86\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u52a0\u5dde\u5730\u9707\u65b7\u88c2\u9810\u5831\u3002\u4e00\u5bb6\u540d\u70baCoreLogic\u7684\u5168\u7403\u8cc7\u7522\u4fe1\u606f\u5206\u6790\u516c\u53f8\u6839\u64da\u9019\u500b\u5730\u9707\u65b7\u88c2\u9810\u5831\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u5c0d\u5730\u9707\u98a8\u96aa\u9032\u884c\u4e86\u79d1\u5b78\u7684\u6578\u64da\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5f97\u51fa\u7d50\u8ad6\u8aaa\uff0c\u5728\u5357\u52a0\u5dde\u548c\u5317\u52a0\u5dde\u53ef\u80fd\u540c\u6642\u767c\u751f\u5927\u5730\u9707\u3002 CoreLogic\u7684\u5730\u9707\u5b78\u5bb6Maiclaire Bolton\u8aaa\uff1a\u201c\u7f8e\u570b\u5730\u8cea\u52d8\u63a2\u7e3d\u7f72\u7684\u65b0\u7684\u79d1\u5b78\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u591a\u500b\u975e\u5e38\u63a5\u8fd1\u7684\u65b7\u5c64\u7dda\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u540c\u6642\u89f8\u767c\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u5730\u9707\u3002\u6211\u5011\u63a1\u7d0d\u4e86\u9019\u4e00\u65b0\u7684\u707d\u5bb3\u79d1\u5b78\uff0c\u4e26\u5c07\u5176\u878d\u5408\u5230\u6211\u5011\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ee5\u78ba\u5b9a\u91d1\u878d\u640d\u5931\u3002\u9019\u4f7f\u6211\u5011\u5f9e\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u6539\u8b8a\u4e86\u5c0d\u52a0\u5dde\u5730\u9707\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u201dCoreLogic\u6700\u65b0\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u5206\u6790\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u6cbf\u8056\u5b89\u5fb7\u70c8\u4e9e\u65af\u65b7\u5c64\u767c\u751f\u7684\u5927\u5730\u9707\u53ef\u80fd\u9020\u6210\u7684\u7834\u58de\u662f\u4e4b\u524d\u4f30\u7b97\u7684\u5169\u500d\u3002\u5728\u767c\u751f8.0\u52308.2\u7d1a\u5730\u9707\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u53d7\u640d\u623f\u5c4b\u7684\u6578\u91cf\u5c07\u5f9e190\u842c\u589e\u52a0\u5230250\u842c\uff0c\u91cd\u5efa\u8cbb\u7528\u5c07\u5f9e1300\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u589e\u52a0\u52301830\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5982\u679c\u767c\u751f\u7f55\u898b\u76848.3\u7d1a\u5730\u9707\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u53d7\u640d\u623f\u5c4b\u7684\u6578\u91cf\u5c07\u589e\u52a0\u5230350\u842c\uff0c\u91cd\u5efa\u8cbb\u7528\u5c07\u589e\u52a0\u52302890\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u7f8e\u570b\u5730\u8cea\u52d8\u63a2\u7e3d\u7f72\u7684\u79d1\u5b78\u98a8\u96aa\u9867\u554fKen Hudnut\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8056\u5b89\u5fb7\u70c8\u4e9e\u65af\u65b7\u5c64\u7684\u5357\u5317\u5169\u6bb5\u4e4b\u9593\u6709\u4e00\u500b95\u82f1\u91cc\u7684\u201c\u722c\u884c\u5340\u201d\uff0c\u5f9e\u897f\u5317\u90e8\u7684San Juan Bautista\u5c0f\u93ae\u5ef6\u4f38\u5230\u5357\u90e8\u7684Parkfield\u3002\u9019\u4e00\u6bb5\u65b7\u5c64\u90a3\u88e1\u7684\u5ca9\u77f3\u662f\u4e0d\u540c\u985e\u578b\u7684\uff0c\u53c8\u6709\u8db3\u5920\u7684\u6d41\u9ad4\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5b83\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u79fb\u52d5\uff0c\u91cb\u653e\u80fd\u91cf\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5c01\u9589\u8d77\u4f86\uff0c\u7a4d\u6522\u80fd\u91cf\u3002\u50b3\u7d71\u4e0a\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u8056\u5b89\u5fb7\u70c8\u4e9e\u65af\u65b7\u5c64\u5357\u5317\u5169\u6bb5\u4e0d\u6703\u8d8a\u904e\u201c\u722c\u884c\u5340\u201d\u4e00\u8d77\u4f5c\u4e82\uff0c\u4f46\u65b0\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u986f\u793a\u5b58\u5728\u6574\u500b\u65b7\u5c64\u7bc4\u570d\u5167\u767c\u751f\u5730\u9707\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u9664\u4e86\u8056\u5b89\u5fb7\u70c8\u4e9e\u65af\u65b7\u5c64\u4ee5\u5916\uff0c\u7063\u5340\u9084\u6709\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u9ebb\u7169\u3002\u4eba\u5011\u4e00\u76f4\u4ee5\u70ba\uff0c\u820a\u91d1\u5c71\u7063\u5340\u67092\u689d\u65b7\u5c64\uff1aRodgers Creek\u65b7\u5c64\u7531Santa Rosa\u5411\u5357\u9032\u5165San Pablo\u7063\uff0c\u800cHayward\u65b7\u5c64\u7531San Jose\u5411\u5317\uff0c\u7a7f\u904eOakland\u548cBerkeley\u7684\u5c71\u4e18\u9032\u5165San Pablo\u7063\uff0c\u5169\u500b\u65b7\u5c64\u76f8\u8ddd\u7d042\u82f1\u91cc\u3002\u53ef\u662f\uff0c\u5f9e2014\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5730\u8cea\u52d8\u63a2\u7e3d\u7f72Santa Cruz\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u5cb8\u548c\u6d77\u6d0b\u79d1\u5b78\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center\uff09\u7684\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6Janet Watt\u5e36\u9818\u7684\u5718\u968a\u7e6a\u88fd\u4e86San Pablo\u7063\u7684\u5730\u8cea\u5730\u5716\uff0c\u767c\u73fe\u9019\u5169\u500b\u65b7\u5c64\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u662f\u9023\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u7684\u3002\u9019\u6a23\u4e00\u4f86\uff0cHayward-Rodgers Creek\u65b7\u5c64\u767c\u751f\u5730\u9707\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u548c\u5730\u9707\u5f37\u5ea6\u90fd\u5927\u5927\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\uff0cWatt\u7b494\u4eba\u5728\u300a\u79d1\u5b78\u9032\u5c55\uff08Science Advances\uff09\u300b\u96dc\u8a8c\u4e0a\u64b0\u6587\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5728\u672a\u4f8630\u5e74\u91ccHayward-Rodgers Creek\u65b7\u5c64\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u767c\u751f7.4\u7d1a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u5730\u9707\uff0c\u5927\u5927\u9ad8\u65bc\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u3002 \u5927\u5bb6\u53ef\u80fd\u9084\u8a18\u5f971989\u5e74\u7684Loma Prieta\u5730\u9707\u66fe\u7d93\u9020\u621063\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u548c\u5927\u7d0460\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8ca1\u7522\u640d\u5931\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u8ddd\u9707\u4e2d\u5e7e\u5341\u82f1\u91cc\u7684\u6d77\u7063\u5927\u6a4b\u7684\u5c40\u90e8\u574d\u584c\u3002\u90a3\u6b21\u5730\u9707\u662f\u91cc\u6c0f\u9707\u7d1a6.9\u7d1a\u3002\u90a3\u9ebc7.4\u7d1a\u5730\u9707\u6bd46.9\u7d1a\u5f37\u591a\u5c11\u5462\uff1f\u5927\u5bb6\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u91cc\u6c0f\u9707\u7d1a\u662f\u6309\u7167\u5730\u9707\u5f37\u5ea6\u7684\u5e38\u7528\u5c0d\u6578\u4f86\u8a18\u9304\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8aaa\u91cc\u6c0f\u9707\u7d1a\u52a01\uff0c\u5176\u5f37\u5ea6\u5c31\u589e\u592710\u500d\u30027.4\u7d1a\u6bd46.9\u7d1a\u9ad80.5\u7d1a\uff0c\u5176\u5f37\u5ea6\u5c31\u662f6.9\u7d1a\u76846\u500d\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002 \u7e3d\u9577\u5ea6\u70ba118\u82f1\u91cc\u7684Hayward-Rodgers Creek\u65b7\u5c64\u5f9eSanta Rosa\u5317\u9762\u7684Healdsburg\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u7a7f\u904eSan Pablo\u7063\uff0c\u6cbf\u7740Oakland\u548cBerkeley\u7684\u5c0f\u5c71\uff0c\u7d93\u904eWest Contra Costa\u7e23\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u5ef6\u4f38\u5230San Jose\u4ee5\u5357\u3002\u9019\u4e00\u5e36\u5c45\u4f4f\u7740\u5927\u7d04700\u842c\u5c45\u6c11\uff0c\u8ca1\u7522\u8d85\u904e1000\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u767c\u751f7.4\u7d1a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5730\u9707\uff0c\u5f8c\u679c\u4e0d\u582a\u8a2d\u60f3\u3002Janet Watt\u5728\u5beb\u7d66\u7f8e\u806f\u793e\u7684\u4e00\u5c01\u96fb\u5b50\u90f5\u4ef6\u4e2d\u63d0\u9192\u7063\u5340\u7684\u4eba\u5011\u8981\u6e96\u5099\u61c9\u4ed8\u4e00\u5834\u5927\u5730\u9707\u3002 \u00a0 \u7f8e\u570b\u5730\u8cea\u52d8\u63a2\u7e3d\u7f722014\u5e74\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u672a\u4f8630\u5e74\u5167\u52a0\u5dde\u767c\u751f6.7\u7d1a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5730\u9707\u7684\u6982\u7387\u70ba99.7%\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5730\u8cea\u52d8\u63a2\u7e3d\u7f72\u4f7f\u7528\u66f4\u52a0\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u52a0\u5dde\u65b7\u5c64\u6578\u64da\u5eab\uff0c\u6539\u9032\u4e86\u65b7\u5c64\u904b\u52d5\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5\u4ee5\u5f8c\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u6cbf\u8056\u5b89\u5fb7\u70c8\u4e9e\u65af\u65b7\u5c64\u767c\u751f\u7684\u5927\u5730\u9707\u53ef\u80fd\u9020\u6210\u7684\u7834\u58de\u662f\u4e4b\u524d\u4f30\u7b97\u7684\u5169\u500d\u3002\u800c\u5728\u7063\u5340\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5730\u8cea\u52d8\u63a2\u7e3d\u7f72\u5f9e2014\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\u7684\u52d8\u63a2\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u539f\u4f86\u4ee5\u70ba\u5f7c\u6b64\u5e73\u884c\u3001\u4e92\u76f8\u7368\u7acb\u7684Rodgers 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