{"id":174044,"date":"2019-08-09T07:21:11","date_gmt":"2019-08-09T14:21:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/old.newsforchinese.com\/v3\/?p=174044"},"modified":"2019-08-09T07:21:11","modified_gmt":"2019-08-09T14:21:11","slug":"%e7%ac%ac%e4%ba%8c%e8%bc%aa%e8%be%af%e8%ab%96%e5%be%8c-kamala-harris%e4%ba%ba%e6%b0%a3%e8%b5%b0%e4%bd%8e","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/2019\/08\/09\/%e7%ac%ac%e4%ba%8c%e8%bc%aa%e8%be%af%e8%ab%96%e5%be%8c-kamala-harris%e4%ba%ba%e6%b0%a3%e8%b5%b0%e4%bd%8e\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f2a\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u00a0Kamala Harris\u4eba\u6c23\u8d70\u4f4e"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"yiv2351511222MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u806f\u90a6\u53c3\u8b70\u54e1<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Kamala Harris<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f2a\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u8faf\u8ad6\u4e2d\u6c92\u6709\u50cf\u7b2c\u4e00\u8f2a\u90a3\u6a23\u53d6\u5f97\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u8b93\u5979\u4ed8\u51fa\u4e86\u4ee3\u50f9\u3002<\/span><!--more--><\/p>\n<p class=\"yiv2351511222MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u8207\u8faf\u8ad6\u524d\u6578\u64da\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Harris<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u5728\u4e94\u500b\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u6c11\u610f\u6e2c\u9a57\u4e2d\u5e73\u5747\u4e0b\u964d\u4e86<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">3<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3002\u9031\u4e09\uff0c\u6839\u64da\u6a23\u672c\u6578\u91cf\u548c\u54c1\u8cea\uff0c\u6578\u64da\u7db2\u7ad9<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">FiveThirtyEight<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u5c0d\u9019\u4e94\u500b\u6c11\u610f\u6e2c\u9a57\u9032\u884c\u4e86\u52a0\u6b0a\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Harris<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u5728\u6240\u6709\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u4e2d\u906d\u53d7\u6253\u64ca\u6700\u5927\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">2.8<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"yiv2351511222MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u9818\u8dd1\u8005<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Joe Biden<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u5728\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u4e5f\u906d\u9047<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">1.9<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u9ede\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u7dca\u96a8<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Harris<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u4e4b\u5f8c\u3002\u800c\u5169\u500b\u6700\u5927\u8d0f\u5bb6\u5247\u662f\u6b63\u5728\u722d\u596a\u4e00\u4e9b\u540c\u6a23\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u6d3e\u9078\u6c11\u7684\u5019\u9078\u4eba\uff1a<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Bernie Sanders (<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u52a0<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">-1.8<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u9ede<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">)\u00a0<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u548c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Elizabeth Warren (<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u52a0<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">-1.6)<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"yiv2351511222MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u4f7f\u7528\u540c\u6a23\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u8861\u91cf\uff0c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Biden<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u4ecd\u7136\u64c1\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u81ea\u5982\u7684\u9818\u5148\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u4ed6\u4ee5<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">28.4%<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u5c0d<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">17.1%<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u9818\u5148<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Sanders<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Harris<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f3<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">7.9%<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u7684\u500b\u4f4d\u6578\uff0c\u6392\u5728\u7b2c\u56db\u4f4d\uff0c\u9060\u843d\u5f8c\u65bc\u7b2c\u4e09\u4f4d\u7684<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Warren<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\uff08<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">14.6<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"yiv2351511222MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u6c92\u6709\u8fa6\u6cd5\u8b49\u660e<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Harris<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6703\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f2a\u8faf\u8ad6\u4e2d\uff0c\u9019\u4f4d\u524d\u52a0\u5dde\u7e3d\u6aa2\u5bdf\u9577\u7684\u78ba\u56e0\u70ba\u5979\u5c0d\u5979\u7684\u91ab\u7642\u8a08\u756b\u7684\u8faf\u8b77\u62db\u4f86\u6279\u8a55\u610f\u898b\u3002\u9019\u8207\u5979\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8faf\u8ad6\u4e2d\u5c31\u7a2e\u65cf\u554f\u984c\u8207<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Biden<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u5c0d\u6297\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u9bae\u660e\u5c0d\u6bd4\u3002\u5979\u8207<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Biden<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u7684\u4ea4\u92d2\u8b93\u5979\u770b\u5230\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u6c11\u6e2c\u6578\u64da\u5927\u5e45\u53cd\u5f48\u81f3\u5169\u4f4d\u6578\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"yiv2351511222MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"EN-US\">FiveThirtyEight<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u7de8\u8f2f<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Nate Silver<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u9031\u4e09\u5beb\u9053\uff0c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Harris<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u593e\u5728<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Biden<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u7684\u66f4\u6eab\u548c\u9078\u6c11\u9663\u71df\u8207<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Warren<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u548c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Sanders<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u5171\u540c\u64c1\u6709\u7684\u66f4\u81ea\u7531\u9078\u6c11\u9663\u71df\u4e4b\u9593\uff1a\u300c\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u770b\u4e00\u4e0b<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Quinnipiac<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\uff0c\u5c31\u6c92\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u55ae\u4e00\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u7fa4\u9ad4<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">&#8211;<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa\uff0c\u5bcc\u6709\u7684\u3001\u5e74\u8f15\u7684\u6216\u9ed1\u4eba\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">\u2014\u2014<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u8b93<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Harris<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u7684\u6c11\u6e2c\u5728\u5176\u4e2d\u9ad8\u51fa<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">10%<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\uff0c\u800c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Biden<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u3001<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Warren<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u548c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Sanders<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u90fd\u6709\u81ea\u5df1\u76f8\u7576\u7368\u7279\u7684\u9078\u6c11\u9663\u71df\u3002\u300d<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"yiv2351511222MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"EN-US\">Harris<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u7684\u8d70\u4f4e\u5728<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Quinnipiac University<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u6c11\u610f\u6e2c\u9a57\u4e2d\u5c24\u5176\u986f\u8457\uff0c\u5728\u9031\u4e8c\u516c\u4f48\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u6e2c\u9a57\u4e2d\uff0c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Harris<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u652f\u6301\u7387\u5f9e\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u7684<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">20%<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u4e0b\u964d\u5230\u4e86<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">7%<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"yiv2351511222MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u6839\u64da\u6700\u65b0\u6578\u64da\uff0c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Silver<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u5728\u7e3d\u7d71\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u7b49\u7d1a\u4e2d\u5c07<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Harris<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u964d\u5230\u8207<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Sanders<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u4e00\u6a23\u7684<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">1c<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u3002<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Biden<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u5728<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">1A<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\uff0c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Warren<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u5728<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">1B<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"yiv2351511222MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u5982\u679c\u8aaa\u5c0d<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Harris<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5229\u597d\u7684\u4e00\u9762\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u4f86\u81ea\u5979\u4e0b\u65b9\u7684\u7af6\u722d\u4e0d\u6703\u5f88\u6fc0\u70c8<\/span>\u3002<span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u6839\u64da<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">FiveThirtyEight<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u8ddf\u8e64\u8abf\u67e5\uff0c\u5979\u4e0b\u65b9\u6700\u63a5\u8fd1\u7684\u5c0d\u624b\u662f<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Pete Buttigieg<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\uff0c\u800c\u4ed6\u6bd4\u5979\u843d\u5f8c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">6<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-TW\">\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"gsp_post_data\" \r\n\t            data-post_type=\"post\" \r\n\t            data-cat=\"news\" \r\n\t            data-modified=\"120\"\r\n\t            data-created=\"1565335271\"\r\n\t            data-title=\"\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f2a\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u00a0Kamala Harris\u4eba\u6c23\u8d70\u4f4e\" \r\n\t            data-home=\"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u806f\u90a6\u53c3\u8b70\u54e1Kamala Harris\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f2a\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u8faf\u8ad6\u4e2d\u6c92\u6709\u50cf\u7b2c\u4e00\u8f2a\u90a3\u6a23\u53d6\u5f97\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u8b93\u5979\u4ed8\u51fa\u4e86\u4ee3\u50f9\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1001022,"featured_media":166560,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"episode_type":"","audio_file":"","podmotor_file_id":"","podmotor_episode_id":"","cover_image":"","cover_image_id":"","duration":"","filesize":"","filesize_raw":"","date_recorded":"","explicit":"","block":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"{title}\n\n{excerpt}\n\n{url}","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[131],"tags":[],"series":[],"class_list":["post-174044","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.9 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u806f\u90a6\u53c3\u8b70\u54e1Kamala Harris\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f2a\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u8faf\u8ad6\u4e2d\u6c92\u6709\u50cf\u7b2c\u4e00\u8f2a\u90a3\u6a23\u53d6\u5f97\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u8b93\u5979\u4ed8\u51fa\u4e86\u4ee3\u50f9\u3002 \u8207\u8faf\u8ad6\u524d\u6578\u64da\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0cHarris\u5728\u4e94\u500b\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u6c11\u610f\u6e2c\u9a57\u4e2d\u5e73\u5747\u4e0b\u964d\u4e863\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3002\u9031\u4e09\uff0c\u6839\u64da\u6a23\u672c\u6578\u91cf\u548c\u54c1\u8cea\uff0c\u6578\u64da\u7db2\u7ad9FiveThirtyEight\u5c0d\u9019\u4e94\u500b\u6c11\u610f\u6e2c\u9a57\u9032\u884c\u4e86\u52a0\u6b0a\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0cHarris\u5728\u6240\u6709\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u4e2d\u906d\u53d7\u6253\u64ca\u6700\u5927\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc2.8\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3002 \u9818\u8dd1\u8005Joe 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Silver\u9031\u4e09\u5beb\u9053\uff0cHarris\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u593e\u5728Biden\u7684\u66f4\u6eab\u548c\u9078\u6c11\u9663\u71df\u8207Warren\u548cSanders\u5171\u540c\u64c1\u6709\u7684\u66f4\u81ea\u7531\u9078\u6c11\u9663\u71df\u4e4b\u9593\uff1a\u300c\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u770b\u4e00\u4e0bQuinnipiac\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\uff0c\u5c31\u6c92\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u55ae\u4e00\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u7fa4\u9ad4-\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa\uff0c\u5bcc\u6709\u7684\u3001\u5e74\u8f15\u7684\u6216\u9ed1\u4eba\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u2014\u2014\u8b93Harris\u7684\u6c11\u6e2c\u5728\u5176\u4e2d\u9ad8\u51fa10%\uff0c\u800cBiden\u3001Warren\u548cSanders\u90fd\u6709\u81ea\u5df1\u76f8\u7576\u7368\u7279\u7684\u9078\u6c11\u9663\u71df\u3002\u300d Harris\u7684\u8d70\u4f4e\u5728Quinnipiac University\u6c11\u610f\u6e2c\u9a57\u4e2d\u5c24\u5176\u986f\u8457\uff0c\u5728\u9031\u4e8c\u516c\u4f48\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u6e2c\u9a57\u4e2d\uff0cHarris\u652f\u6301\u7387\u5f9e\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u768420%\u4e0b\u964d\u5230\u4e867%\u3002 \u6839\u64da\u6700\u65b0\u6578\u64da\uff0cSilver\u5728\u7e3d\u7d71\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u7b49\u7d1a\u4e2d\u5c07Harris\u964d\u5230\u8207Sanders\u4e00\u6a23\u76841c\u3002Biden\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u57281A\uff0cWarren\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u57281B\u3002 \u5982\u679c\u8aaa\u5c0dHarris\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5229\u597d\u7684\u4e00\u9762\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u4f86\u81ea\u5979\u4e0b\u65b9\u7684\u7af6\u722d\u4e0d\u6703\u5f88\u6fc0\u70c8\u3002\u6839\u64daFiveThirtyEight\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u8ddf\u8e64\u8abf\u67e5\uff0c\u5979\u4e0b\u65b9\u6700\u63a5\u8fd1\u7684\u5c0d\u624b\u662fPete Buttigieg\uff0c\u800c\u4ed6\u6bd4\u5979\u843d\u5f8c6\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3002\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"author\" 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\u8207\u8faf\u8ad6\u524d\u6578\u64da\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0cHarris\u5728\u4e94\u500b\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u6c11\u610f\u6e2c\u9a57\u4e2d\u5e73\u5747\u4e0b\u964d\u4e863\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3002\u9031\u4e09\uff0c\u6839\u64da\u6a23\u672c\u6578\u91cf\u548c\u54c1\u8cea\uff0c\u6578\u64da\u7db2\u7ad9FiveThirtyEight\u5c0d\u9019\u4e94\u500b\u6c11\u610f\u6e2c\u9a57\u9032\u884c\u4e86\u52a0\u6b0a\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0cHarris\u5728\u6240\u6709\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u4e2d\u906d\u53d7\u6253\u64ca\u6700\u5927\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc2.8\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3002 \u9818\u8dd1\u8005Joe Biden\u5728\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u4e5f\u906d\u90471.9\u9ede\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u7dca\u96a8Harris\u4e4b\u5f8c\u3002\u800c\u5169\u500b\u6700\u5927\u8d0f\u5bb6\u5247\u662f\u6b63\u5728\u722d\u596a\u4e00\u4e9b\u540c\u6a23\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u6d3e\u9078\u6c11\u7684\u5019\u9078\u4eba\uff1aBernie Sanders (\u52a0-1.8\u9ede) \u548cElizabeth Warren (\u52a0-1.6)\u3002 \u4f7f\u7528\u540c\u6a23\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u8861\u91cf\uff0cBiden\u4ecd\u7136\u64c1\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u81ea\u5982\u7684\u9818\u5148\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u4ed6\u4ee528.4%\u5c0d17.1%\u9818\u5148Sanders\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0cHarris\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f37.9%\u7684\u500b\u4f4d\u6578\uff0c\u6392\u5728\u7b2c\u56db\u4f4d\uff0c\u9060\u843d\u5f8c\u65bc\u7b2c\u4e09\u4f4d\u7684Warren\uff0814.6\uff09\u3002 \u6c92\u6709\u8fa6\u6cd5\u8b49\u660eHarris\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6703\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f2a\u8faf\u8ad6\u4e2d\uff0c\u9019\u4f4d\u524d\u52a0\u5dde\u7e3d\u6aa2\u5bdf\u9577\u7684\u78ba\u56e0\u70ba\u5979\u5c0d\u5979\u7684\u91ab\u7642\u8a08\u756b\u7684\u8faf\u8b77\u62db\u4f86\u6279\u8a55\u610f\u898b\u3002\u9019\u8207\u5979\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8faf\u8ad6\u4e2d\u5c31\u7a2e\u65cf\u554f\u984c\u8207Biden\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u5c0d\u6297\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u9bae\u660e\u5c0d\u6bd4\u3002\u5979\u8207Biden\u7684\u4ea4\u92d2\u8b93\u5979\u770b\u5230\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u6c11\u6e2c\u6578\u64da\u5927\u5e45\u53cd\u5f48\u81f3\u5169\u4f4d\u6578\u3002 FiveThirtyEight\u7de8\u8f2fNate Silver\u9031\u4e09\u5beb\u9053\uff0cHarris\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u593e\u5728Biden\u7684\u66f4\u6eab\u548c\u9078\u6c11\u9663\u71df\u8207Warren\u548cSanders\u5171\u540c\u64c1\u6709\u7684\u66f4\u81ea\u7531\u9078\u6c11\u9663\u71df\u4e4b\u9593\uff1a\u300c\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u770b\u4e00\u4e0bQuinnipiac\u6c11\u610f\u8abf\u67e5\uff0c\u5c31\u6c92\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u55ae\u4e00\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u7fa4\u9ad4-\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa\uff0c\u5bcc\u6709\u7684\u3001\u5e74\u8f15\u7684\u6216\u9ed1\u4eba\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u2014\u2014\u8b93Harris\u7684\u6c11\u6e2c\u5728\u5176\u4e2d\u9ad8\u51fa10%\uff0c\u800cBiden\u3001Warren\u548cSanders\u90fd\u6709\u81ea\u5df1\u76f8\u7576\u7368\u7279\u7684\u9078\u6c11\u9663\u71df\u3002\u300d Harris\u7684\u8d70\u4f4e\u5728Quinnipiac University\u6c11\u610f\u6e2c\u9a57\u4e2d\u5c24\u5176\u986f\u8457\uff0c\u5728\u9031\u4e8c\u516c\u4f48\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u6e2c\u9a57\u4e2d\uff0cHarris\u652f\u6301\u7387\u5f9e\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u768420%\u4e0b\u964d\u5230\u4e867%\u3002 \u6839\u64da\u6700\u65b0\u6578\u64da\uff0cSilver\u5728\u7e3d\u7d71\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u7b49\u7d1a\u4e2d\u5c07Harris\u964d\u5230\u8207Sanders\u4e00\u6a23\u76841c\u3002Biden\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u57281A\uff0cWarren\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u57281B\u3002 \u5982\u679c\u8aaa\u5c0dHarris\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5229\u597d\u7684\u4e00\u9762\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u4f86\u81ea\u5979\u4e0b\u65b9\u7684\u7af6\u722d\u4e0d\u6703\u5f88\u6fc0\u70c8\u3002\u6839\u64daFiveThirtyEight\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u8ddf\u8e64\u8abf\u67e5\uff0c\u5979\u4e0b\u65b9\u6700\u63a5\u8fd1\u7684\u5c0d\u624b\u662fPete Buttigieg\uff0c\u800c\u4ed6\u6bd4\u5979\u843d\u5f8c6\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3002\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/2019\/08\/09\/%e7%ac%ac%e4%ba%8c%e8%bc%aa%e8%be%af%e8%ab%96%e5%be%8c-kamala-harris%e4%ba%ba%e6%b0%a3%e8%b5%b0%e4%bd%8e\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/Kamala-Harris.jpg\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:image:secure_url\" content=\"https:\/\/newsforchinese.com\/v3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/Kamala-Harris.jpg\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"600\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"400\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-08-09T14:21:11+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-08-09T14:21:11+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f2a\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c Kamala Harris\u4eba\u6c23\u8d70\u4f4e - News for Chinese \uff0d \u820a\u91d1\u5c71\u7063\u5340No.1\u514d\u8cbb\u83ef\u4eba\u793e\u5340\u5831\u7d19\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u806f\u90a6\u53c3\u8b70\u54e1Kamala Harris\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f2a\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u8faf\u8ad6\u4e2d\u6c92\u6709\u50cf\u7b2c\u4e00\u8f2a\u90a3\u6a23\u53d6\u5f97\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u8b93\u5979\u4ed8\u51fa\u4e86\u4ee3\u50f9\u3002 \u8207\u8faf\u8ad6\u524d\u6578\u64da\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0cHarris\u5728\u4e94\u500b\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u6c11\u610f\u6e2c\u9a57\u4e2d\u5e73\u5747\u4e0b\u964d\u4e863\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3002\u9031\u4e09\uff0c\u6839\u64da\u6a23\u672c\u6578\u91cf\u548c\u54c1\u8cea\uff0c\u6578\u64da\u7db2\u7ad9FiveThirtyEight\u5c0d\u9019\u4e94\u500b\u6c11\u610f\u6e2c\u9a57\u9032\u884c\u4e86\u52a0\u6b0a\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u986f\u793a\uff0cHarris\u5728\u6240\u6709\u5019\u9078\u4eba\u4e2d\u906d\u53d7\u6253\u64ca\u6700\u5927\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc2.8\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3002 \u9818\u8dd1\u8005Joe Biden\u5728\u8faf\u8ad6\u5f8c\u4e5f\u906d\u90471.9\u9ede\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u7dca\u96a8Harris\u4e4b\u5f8c\u3002\u800c\u5169\u500b\u6700\u5927\u8d0f\u5bb6\u5247\u662f\u6b63\u5728\u722d\u596a\u4e00\u4e9b\u540c\u6a23\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u6d3e\u9078\u6c11\u7684\u5019\u9078\u4eba\uff1aBernie Sanders (\u52a0-1.8\u9ede) \u548cElizabeth Warren (\u52a0-1.6)\u3002 \u4f7f\u7528\u540c\u6a23\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u8861\u91cf\uff0cBiden\u4ecd\u7136\u64c1\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u81ea\u5982\u7684\u9818\u5148\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u4ed6\u4ee528.4%\u5c0d17.1%\u9818\u5148Sanders\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0cHarris\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f37.9%\u7684\u500b\u4f4d\u6578\uff0c\u6392\u5728\u7b2c\u56db\u4f4d\uff0c\u9060\u843d\u5f8c\u65bc\u7b2c\u4e09\u4f4d\u7684Warren\uff0814.6\uff09\u3002 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